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Updated 2009-2010 BCS and Bowl Projections after Week 13

Our complete Bowl Projections, along with those from our friends at ESPN and CBS Sportsline are now updated. The Biggest Question left to answer? Who will be “The Biggest Loser” on Saturday night after the SEC Championship – Florida or Alabama. We believe it will be Florida emerging...

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Updated 2009-2010 NCAA College Football Bowl Projections

Posted by Mr. BCS | Posted in BCS Predictions, Projections and Analysis | Posted on 15-11-2009

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Although there wasn’t a huge shake up in our College Football BCS Bowl Projections this week, a number of Saturday’s games impacted some of the other 29 bowls including:

  • Cal’s win against Arizona
  • Stanford’s blowout over Southern Cal
  • Georgia’s victory against Auburn
  • Ole Miss’ drubbing of Tennessee
  • Central Florida’s win against Houston

Here’s our latest BCS bowl predictions:

BCS National Championship Game: Florida vs. Texas

Allstate Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Cincinnati

FedEx Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. TCU

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Iowa vs. Boise State

Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Ohio State

Agree?  Disagree?  Let us know below.

November 14th NCAA College Football Predictions

Posted by Mr. BCS | Posted in Games to Watch | Posted on 13-11-2009

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The regular season is winding down and late-season losses can make the difference between playing for the National Championship, a BCS football game or missing the postseason altogether.

Here’s our picks for this weekend’s games.

Georgia Tech at Duke: Last week’s heroics by Jonathan Dwyer (not to mention a great 4th down call by Paul Johnson) let the Jackets slim BCS title hopes alive. A victory this weekend would secure a spot in the ACC Title Game and likely an Orange Bowl berth. No other motivation required. Georgia Tech 30, Duke 13

Alabama at Miss State: The Bulldogs have played very well at home this season and easily could have posted victories over Florida and LSU. This should be close fir a half, but Mark Ingram will be too much for the boys from Starkville to handle. Alabama 34, Miss State 17

Florida at South Carolina: South Carolina always starts the year with a flurry and seems to fade late in the year. No Black Magic for the Gamecocks, just fade to black. Florida 24, South Carolina 13

Utah at TCU: There wont be a more exciting game on Saturday than this one. Win, and the Horned Frogs have cleared their biggest remaining hurdle to a BCS bowl game. Should Texas lose, the BCS rankings will get interesting for the 4th ranked Horned Frogs. TCU 23, Utah 17

Iowa at Ohio State. Two weeks ago, the Hawkeyes had arguably the Big 10’s best QB. Now, Ricky Stanzi is injured and Terrelle Pryor has found his mojo once more. That doesn’t bode well for Iowa. Ohio State 30, Iowa 10

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: Lose this one and the Irish are looking for a new coach – likely named Nick Saban or Urban Meyer. Panthers RB Dion Lewis runs wild and creates a ton of headaches in Gainesville and Tuscaloosa. Pitt 28, Notre Dame 24

Stanford at USC: Two years ago, the Cardinal pulled off one of the most improbable victories ever against the Trojans. Both of these teams are still alive for a Rose Bowl berth, but need some help. Pete Carroll and the Trojans will keep Tobey Gerhart in check as USC stays on track for an at-large BCS berth. USC 27, Stanford 17

Agree? Disagree? Let me know your thought below.

October 17th College Football Predictions

Posted by Mr. BCS | Posted in BCS Predictions, Projections and Analysis, Games to Watch | Posted on 15-10-2009

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Bad news: We’re halfway through the College Football season.

Great news: We’re now into the meaty part of the conference schedule, with most of the cupcake games out of the way.  Things will start to heat up as the race for the BCS Bowl Games and National Championship moves into full swing.

Starting tonight, we’ll have some big games on the schedule.  Here’s the college football predictions for the weekend of October 17th.

Pittsburgh at Rutgers (Friday): Five of the eight teams in the Big East have only one loss, including both the Panthers and the Scarlet Knights.  Pitt RBs Dion Lewis and Ray Graham will lead the charge as Coach Wannstedt finally gets his first win against Rutgers after five tries.  Pitt 28, Rutgers 20.

Texas vs. Oklahoma (Dallas): This game was supposed to be for a berth to the Big XII Championship game and for the rights to face Florida in the BCS National Championship game.  Although Sooners QB Sam Bradford is back, he’s too late to stop the Longhorns train to Pasadena.  Texas 30, Oklahoma 20.

Alabama vs. South Carolina: The past king of the SEC, Steve Spurrier, and the Gamecocks take on the future king of the SEC in Nick Saban’s Tide.  This is a classic trap game for Alabama with Lane Kiffin and the Vols rolling into town next weekend.  It will be close early, but look for QB Greg McElroy to make some key throws down the stretch to separate these two squads.  With this win, RB Mark Ingram will continue to keep his name in the Heisman Trophy conversation.  Alabama 21, South Carolina 17.

USC at Notre Dame: Speaking of the Heisman, can you believe it’s been more than 20 years since anyone from Notre Dame has taken home the disctinction?  It’s true, the last was Tim Brown in 1987.  Although the Irish are winning and Jimmy Clausen is getting some love for the award, you get the sense he needs a big win in order to step ahead of Tebow and McCoy.  He’ll give it his best shot, but it won’t be enough.  USC 31, Notre Dame 17.

Cal at UCLA: When the season opened, the Bears had dreams of playing in the Rose Bowl.  Unfortunately, they were talking about the game played in January, not this matchup with the Bruins.  Cal needs this one to keep the season from being a complete disaster.  They’ll get it.  Cal 24, UCLA 21.

Iowa at Wisconsin: The Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde show heads to Madison for a big-time showdown against the Badgers.  Iowa out-hustled the Badgers last season.  In a victory for pride everywhere, Wisconsin ends Iowa’s bid for perfection.  Wisconsin 20, Iowa 16.

Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech:  This one is really intriguing.  With a win here, the Jackets create a log jam at the top of the division between themselves, the Hokies and Miami.  If Tyrod Taylor can lead his team to victory, it’s a near guarantee they will reach the ACC Championship Game in Tampa.  Virginia Tech has too much riding on this game to let it slip away.  Virginia Tech 34, Georgia Tech 24.

Arkansas at Florida: The Hogs with QB Ryan Mallett are really firing on all cylinders on offense scoring 48, 44, 41 and 47 points in a 3-2 start to the season.  Unfortunately, they posted only seven points in a 35-7 loss against Alabama.  The Gators defense, led by Brandon Spikes, isn’t quite that good, but close enough.  Florida 31, Arkansas 13.

Missouri at Oklahoma State:  Suspended Cowboys WR Dez Bryant told the NCAA this week he is “very, very sorry.”  Unfortunately, he still isn’t eligible, which is bad because OSU really, really needs him.  Missouri QB Blaine Gabbert gets back on track after a horrendous performance last week against Nebraska.  Missouri 27, Oklahoma State 24.

Kansas at Colorado: The Buffaloes are feeling a little flat after letting a first half lead against Texas eviscerate on the way to a second half beatdown.  Confidence of the Buffs defense is not high after the 38 points they allowed last weekend.  At here comes Todd Reesing and the Jayhawks, who are looking to secure a BCS berth – or more.  When is Reesing going to get more love for the Heisman?  Answer: After they defeat Oklahoma next weekend.  Kansas 41, Colorado 20.

Feel free to leave your comments below and, as always, enjoy the games….

College Football game picks for September 12th

Posted by Mr. BCS | Posted in BCS Predictions, Projections and Analysis, Games to Watch | Posted on 10-09-2009

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After having a tough weekend, the ACC has delivered some outstanding football, with tonight’s Georgia Tech vs. Clemson game as well as FSU vs. Miami going down to the wire.

We’ve got several big games in week 2 of the College Football season.  Our picks for Saturday are below.

#3 USC at #8 Ohio State.  The Buckeyes were embarassed 35-3 in Los Angeles last season.  Jim Tressel spent this week fielding questions about his team’s ability to win games against Top 5 teams and wondering whether he now needs to micro-manage what players put on their eye blacks.  In case you didn’t hear about it, QB Terelle Pryor had “Vick”, in reference to Eagles QB Mike Vick on one of his eyes last week.  Even with the game in Columbus, I get the sense USC and their freshman QB, Matt Barkley, will come into this game loose and ready to play.  USC 35, Ohio State 17.

South Carolina at #21 Georgia.  It was a tale of two games for the Dawgs last weekend, with senior QB Joe Cox leading a great drive to open the contest, followed by a Oklahoma State defense that clamped down on Georgia’s offensive attack.  If Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks can stay patient and not make too many mistakes, they’ll walk out of Athens with a win.  With Arkansas, Arizona State, LSU and Tennessee on Georgia’s schedule the next four weeks, this season could spiral out of control in a hurry.  South Carolina 20, Georgia 17.

#18 Notre Dame at Michigan.  Both coaches, Rich Rodriguez and Charlie Weis really could use a victory here.  Neither have had great offseasons and both are feeling the pressure from their constituents.  The Irish defense was stout last weekend against a tremendous Nevada offense.  If QB Jimmy Clausen can have a big week against Michigan and the following week (Michigan State), he will start to get some serious love for the Heisman.  Look for the Fighting Irish to show that last week was not a fluke.  Notre Dame 27, Michigan 24.

#16 TCU at Virginia.  This is a statement game for the Horned Frogs, who are out to get some press and demonstrate they belong in the BCS conversation with Boise State and BYU.  In light of last week’s loss by Al Groh’s Cavaliers to William & Mary, is this the beginning of the end for him?  This won’t help.  TCU 41, Virginia 20.

Mississippi State at Auburn.  Last season’s 3-2 victory by the Tigers showed that the spread offense on Tony Franklin wasn’t working, which contributed to his mid-season firing and the unraveling of Tommy Tuberville at the University.  New coaches Dan Mullen (MSU) and Gene Chizik (Auburn) should show they have both programs moving in a positive direction.  The winner of this one won’t finish last in the SEC West, but the loser might.  Auburn 31, Mississippi State 17.

Air Force at Minnesota.  The Golden Gophers got all they wanted from a weak Syracuse team last weekend, emerging victorious in OT.  Meanwhile, Air Force destroyed Nicholls State 72-0.  The Mountain West conference will continue to build respect.  Air Force 34, Minnesota 24.

UCLA at Tennessee.  This will be the first big win of the Lane Kiffin era as the Vols get revenge for last season’s stunning loss at the Rose Bowl.  Home field will be a big factor in this one.  Tennessee 33, UCLA 27.

East Carolina at West Virginia.  After Cincinnati’s demolition of Rutgers last weekend, combined with West Virginia’s sluggish victory over FCS opponent Liverty, it will be interesting to see how the Mountaineers come out this weekend.  Skip Holtz will have his Pirates ready.  Look for WVU to pull away late in the contest.  West Virginia 28, East Carolina 24.

Purdue at Oregon.  How will the Ducks respond following the suspension of RB LeGarrette Blount?  New coach Chip Kelly would like to see his offense back on track this week.  Meanwhile, can the Big Ten finally get a non-conference win at Autzen Stadium?  Oregon 20, Purdue 13.

What are your picks for this weekend?

Enjoy the games!